Preview

Vestnik Gosudarstvennogo universiteta morskogo i rechnogo flota imeni admirala S. O. Makarova

Advanced search

TASKS OF RISKS ASSESSMENT AND FAILURES PREVENTION OF THE SHIP’S MECHANICAL SYSTEMS

https://doi.org/10.21821/2309-5180-2022-14-6-931-944

Abstract

The subject of the research is the tasks of assessing risks and preventing failures of ship mechanical systems, since at present reliability indicators are of great importance at the design stages and during operation. The various types of maintenance, namely, corrective, scheduled, by “state” are compared in the paper. The performance of technical monitoring can provide valid information about the actual state of the ship’s mechanical systems, which can reduce the technical and economic costs of their maintenance. A set of risks assessment methods is considered according the following stages - hazards identification, risks analysis, control options, cost-benefit assessment, decision making. To improve current methods and make them more practical, risks assessment and failures prevention are considered using the example of marine mechanical systems. The concept of risks matrix priority, taken from the analysis of the probability and consequences of failures, is used. The assessment identifies five levels of probability and five levels of consequences that can consider each type of undesirable accident. If statistical data are not available for each stage of the assessment, it is proposed to apply expert review. Possible connections between the design calculation of the reliability of ship’s mechanical systems and risk assessment based on actual data on accidents are discussed, i. e. a two-level system that considers various aspects of ensuring the reliability of ship equipment at all stages of its life cycle. The proposed approach for the joint use of risks assessment methods and traditional reliability calculations allows choosing the safest operating mode for the selected risk level, as well as predicting the necessary corrective actions, choosing options for diagnosing and maintaining ship’s mechanical systems. The conclusions received can be used to prepare specifications for the design of ship’s systems in order to assess reliability indicators, and also to extend the life of such equipment.

About the Authors

Evgeniy S. Moseyko
“Iceberg” Central Design Bureau
Russian Federation


Evgeniy O. Ol’Khovik
Admiral Makarov State University of Maritime and Inland Shipping
Russian Federation


References

1. Правила классификации и постройки морских судов / Ч. VII: Механические установки. - НД № 2-020101-138. - СПб.: Российский морской регистр судоходства, 2021. - С. 79.

2. Правила классификации и постройки морских судов / Ч. IХ: Механизмы. - НД № 2-020101-138. - СПб.: Российский морской регистр судоходства, 2021. - С. 136.

3. Гамс А. В. Оценка эксплуатационного риска для морских автономных судов / А. В. Гамс, Д. А. Акмайкин, А. А. Ильченко // Вестник Государственного университета морского и речного флота имени адмирала С. О. Макарова. - 2022. - Т. 14. - № 2. - С. 248-256. DOI: 10.21821/2309-5180-2022-14-2-248-256.

4. Ивановская А. В. Статистический анализ отказов элементов палубного оборудования рыбопромыслового судна / А. В. Ивановская, Н. П. Клименко, В. В. Попов // Вестник Государственного университета морского и речного флота имени адмирала С. О. Макарова. - 2022. - Т. 14. - № 3. - С. 440-448. DOI:10.21821/2309-5180-2022-14-3-440-448.

5. Zhao J. A bi-objective model for vessel emergency maintenance under a condition-based maintenance strategy /j. Zhao, L. Yang // Simulation. - 2018. - Vol. 94. - Is. 7. - Pp. 609-624. DOI: 10.1177/0037549717741973.

6. Zammori F. A constructive algorithm to maximize the useful life of a mechanical system subjected to ageing, with non-resuppliable spares parts / F. Zammori, M. Bertolini, D. Mezzogori // International Journal of Industrial Engineering Computations. - 2020. - Vol. 11. - Is. 1. - Pp. 17-34. DOI: 10.5267/j.ijiec.2019.7.001.

7. Revised guidelines for formal safety assessment (FSA) for use in the IMO rule-making process. - London: IMO, 2018. - 69 p.

8. Мосейко Е. С. Исследование надежности судовых насосов по данным технического наблюдения / Е. С. Мосейко, Е. О. Ольховик // Вестник Астраханского государственного технического университета. Серия: Морская техника и технология. - 2021. - № 4. - С. 7-16. DOI: 10.24143/2073-1574-2021-4-7-16.

9. Мосейко Е. С. Оценка обеспечения надежности судовых механических систем / Е. С. Мосейко, Е. О. Ольховик // Морская радиоэлектроника. - 2022. - № 2(80). - С. 8-12.

10. Asuquo M. An integrated risk assessment for maintenance prediction of oil wetted gearbox and bearing in marine and offshore industries using a fuzzy rule base method / M. Asuquo, J. Wang, L. Zhang, G. Phylip-Jones // Proceedings of the Institution of Mechanical Engineers, Part M: Journal of Engineering for the Maritime Environment. - 2020. - Vol. 234. - Is. 2. - Pp. 313-331. DOI: 10.1177/1475090219899528.

11. Avontuur G. C. Systems reliability analysis of mechanical and hydraulic drive systems / G. C. Avontuur, K. van der Werff //Reliability Engineering & System Safety. - 2002. - Vol. 77. - Is. 2. - Pp. 121-130. DOI: 10.1016/S0951-8320(02)00039-X.

12. Zhang L. Ship accident consequences and contributing factors analyses using ship accident investigation reports / L. Zhang, H. Wang, Q. Meng, H. Xie // Proceedings of the Institution of Mechanical Engineers, Part O: Journal of risk and reliability. - 2019. - Vol. 233. - Is. 1. - Pp. 35-47. DOI: 10.1177/1748006X18768917.

13. Кузнецов Р. В. Аналитический обзор отечественного и зарубежного опыта разработки и проектирования судовых реверс-редукторных передач / Р. В. Кузнецов // Вестник Государственного университета морского и речного флота имени адмирала С. О. Макарова. - 2022. - Т. 14. - № 1. - С. 93-103. DOI: 10.21821/2309-5180-2022-14-1-93-103.

14. Chiodo E. Stochastic index definition and estimation for reliability and quality assessment of transportation systems / E. Chiodo, D. Lauria // 2012 Electrical Systems for Aircraft, Railway and Ship Propulsion. - IEEE, 2012. - Pp. 1-5. DOI: 10.1109/ESARS.2012.6387419.


Review

For citations:


Moseyko E.S., Ol’Khovik E.O. TASKS OF RISKS ASSESSMENT AND FAILURES PREVENTION OF THE SHIP’S MECHANICAL SYSTEMS. Vestnik Gosudarstvennogo universiteta morskogo i rechnogo flota imeni admirala S. O. Makarova. 2022;14(6):931-944. (In Russ.) https://doi.org/10.21821/2309-5180-2022-14-6-931-944

Views: 365


Creative Commons License
This work is licensed under a Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 License.


ISSN 2309-5180 (Print)
ISSN 2500-0551 (Online)