Risk management in software development in the field of information protection

The purpose of this work is to develop information digital technologies in terms of modeling methods and formalized descriptions of technological process control that are associated with increasing the reliability of water transport systems by reducing the likelihood of transport risks occurring. As part of this goal, the problem of developing mathematical methods for accounting for the partial delay of the protective effect in risk management models is being addressed. This is done in the context of growing requirements for the safe digitalization of water transport, given a wide range of risk factors of both engineering-material and informational nature. A theoretical probabilistic approach to optimizing costs for reducing risks, considering both these costs and possible losses from risk realization, has recently been developed in industry research on water transport. However, the models considered have not accounted for the possible and sometimes inevitable delay in the effect, as costs for anti-risk measures are not fully realized immediately. This situation is analogous to distributed-lag analysis of incomplete construction, which was developed under planned economy conditions. The results of this work include new optimization mathematical models that account for the possible delay in the effect of additional costs, thereby reducing overall risk damage.

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